Sage member Professor Graham Medley has claimed that hospital admissions could increase from the 19th after the lifting of restrictions in England.
Professor Medley, a member of the Sage Modeling subgroup SP-M, provides expert advice on the UK’s response to emerging risks from infectious diseases to the Department of Health and Social Care and the wider UK government.
He warned on BBC Radio 4’s Today program about the uncertainty in predicting people’s attitudes after the lifting of sanctions on July 19.
“It’s likely we’ll have more than 1,000 hospitalizations a day,” said Professor Medley.
He argued that summer would be a natural peak in cases of coronavirus that could last up to six weeks.
“We have never seen a peak before,” he said.
“The intention is not to introduce a lockdown on this peak. Then we are going to see a natural peak and it can be long and wide.
“So even if we don’t reach very large numbers, the numbers we get can last for weeks, six weeks or more, in which case there is still a lot of burden on healthcare.” Falls.
“So, although we can’t get more than 2,000 admissions a day, if it lasts for six weeks, then that’s a lot of people.”
Professor Sample added that he would continue to wear a face mask “especially in adjoining areas”.
He said: “I think it’s a reasonable thing to do. It doesn’t have a huge impact on economic impact or freedom, and I think there is evidence to suggest that it does a good job. But only if everyone does it.
“So I think, without a mandate, then we’re going to end this situation, even if the majority of people, masks, even 70% of people wear masks, would anyone really do a good job because of 30%?” Who doesn’t? I think this is something that still needs to be debated.
“I understand the government’s reluctance to mandate it. On the other hand, if it is not mandated, it may not work.
The government confirmed on Monday that major restrictions such as social distance, mandatory niqab and large gatherings would be lifted on July 19.
Asked if he would wear a face mask after July 19, former Health Secretary Jeremy Hunt told LBC: “Well, I’m going to do what my mentor, Boris Johnson, said yesterday. I will wear them in crowds.
“I think there is a moment of epidemics where, if deaths from coyotes are estimated, for example, a bad flu year, you encourage (and) recommend people instead of coercion. ۔
“But if things change for the worse, you have to be prepared to change your mind – but we still don’t know which way to go.”